Week 17

Week 17

12/07- I have had a long look at a couple of races this week, but bar adding a few to my tracker to monitor as the jumps season gets underway, there is only one who is immediately looking overpriced. Currently only priced up with Unibet, I like the chances of Minella Escape in the Festival Novices' chase. Very closely related to this years' Gold Cup hero Minella Indo, he has both the same Sire in Beat Hollow and Dam's Sire in Supreme Leader. On form there is a small improvement required but I think fences could be the making of this horse. He fell on first start when the likely winner before needing further on second start and finishing a good second. Slightly upped in trip he then won convincingly by 7 lengths beating a Mullins' favourite. His final start was over 3 miles in a novice grade three where he was sent off odds on. He travelled very well and the extra trip appeared to suit well, getting on top and seemingly going away before the second last only for a clumsy jump to see him fall. This pick could be an absolute no show, but I think going over fences could force him to concentrate a little on his jumping and bring the best out of him. At 50/1 there is definitely positives and reason for a little optimism. He is also in the National Hunt Chase market on Unibet, I just think he has more class than that, but will see how he is campaigned this year and might have a small saver on this race too.