03/04 Fairyhouse and Musselburgh
1:50 Musselburgh Eton College
I’m expecting much better here, having won his last turf start he’s been dropped 7 pounds since then over the AW. It is quite possible with the shrewd Mark Johnson that the turf season was the long term plan and he may bounce back to ‘form’ for it. If not today I’ll be keeping an eye out where this horse runs this season, as last years form was very good!
3:00 Musselburgh Orvar
This is a really race so not one to go mad in, I do love the sprint races with extra places though and couldn’t resist taking a play on Orvar who had some good runs last year, is back on his last winning mark for a jockey who I really like in Ben Curtis. I think 20/1 about him is huge with the 4 and 5 places available.
3:30 Fairyhouse Darrens hope & Capodanno
Winner of a novice grade three last time and a novice listed race earlier this year, his other two completed runs this year include a close enough third to Black tears over an inadequate two and a half, as well as another third in a novice grade two just behind behind Vanillier who’s just bolted up in the Bartlett. He may be on fairly high mark but he has some excellent form and 22/1 is massive with 5 places available. I actually had Capodanno down for one of my stronger handicap fancies at Cheltenham wherever he ended up. Last time out he looked in need of this extra distance staying on well into third from Velvit Elvis who reopposes. I think 8/1 is good each way value for this improving horse and having really liked him for Cheltenham I have to back him today.
16:05 Fairyhouse Hurricane Cliff
Eclair Du Buffeau has obvious claims having ran so well in the County at Cheltenham, that was a hard run race and at 3/1 in such a big field I’ll be leaving that one alone today. Instead I’ll look for an outsider in Hurricane Cliff at14/1 with 5 or 6 places available depending who you bet with. He had a flat rating of 81 which is admirable and although well beaten in it, he ran in the same maiden flat race won by multiple group 1 winner Circus Maximus. He’s been consistent this year finally getting his win last time out, I think his opening mark looks good enough and with a young jockey I like claiming some weight off him, think he has an excellent chance of being there abouts.
16:11 Musselburgh Tommy G
For Jim Goldie Tommy G has been an excellent servant running any where between 5 furlongs and a mile he always runs his race. His best form has been over 6 furlongs having won and placed in the Stewards Cup at Goodwood. He is an eight year old now, but is off of his lowest ever mark. He was a decent third last time over 7 furlongs and I think 25/1 with 5 places is good value, it may be more heart over head but I like his chances!
17:15 Fairyhouse Mr Jackman
I think these NHF races are always difficult to predict but I think Mr Jackman is well overpriced here at 30/1! His first run since leaving Gordon Elliott, he has previously gone off favourite in each of his four starts, winning his first two bumpers. He was then a close second in his first two hurdle runs. Having always been there abouts in his runs I’ll be having an each way play and hoping he can show the same form for his new trainer.
1:50 Eton College 16/1 0.5pts each way
3:00 Orvar 22/1 0.5pts each way 5 places
3:30 Capodanno 8/1 1pt each way 5 places
Darrens Hope 25/1 0.5pts each way 5 places
4:05 Hurricane Cliff 12/1 0.5pts each way 6 places
4:11 Tommy G 25/1 0.5pts each way 5 places
5:15 Mr Jackman 30/1 0.5pts each way 5 places