• Hands Heels

Royal Ascot Day 4

2:30- The Albany Stakes, a group three over 6 furlongs for the 2 year old fillies. There’s a couple I like in this. Oscula was a good winner of the Woodcote last time out and should go well here she is short enough at 7/1 but I rate her chances highly! I’ll also be playing Elliptic, who, after a taking debut and then under penalty came second to a good Ger Lyons horse in Doctor Zempf who is favourite for the group two railway stakes at the Curragh. The debut form has been franked this week with the second Quick Suzy winning yesterday in the group two Norfolk stakes. At 10/1 I’ll have a 1pt each way bet here as I think she could be really good.

Elliptic 10/1 1pt EW

Oscula 7/1 1pt EW

3:05- The King Edward VII stakes is a group two for three year olds over the derby trip, the male counterpart to yesterday’s Ribblesdale. A race which surprisingly only has a turnout of 8 and with heavy rain due we may end up with even less by off time. The one who I’m going for her is Alenquer, he beat derby winner Adayar in the group three classic trial at Sandown last time out, should do better at this longer trip and this race doesn’t look the deepest, at 2/1 I’ll have a 1pt win on him.

Alenquer 2/1 1pt win

3:40- Next up is the Commenwealth cup, a group one over 6 furlongs for 3 year olds. Often a strong race we have a big field turn up meaning we have bookies offering 5 or 6 places. Miss Amulet is my first selection and actually finished 2 lengths ahead of Campanelle on final start last year in the fillies turf at the breeders cup meeting over a mile. They will both be more suited to the mile here and her reappearance this year was no easy task, again over a mile on heavy ground she ran no sort of race and I think a mile stretches her. At that breeders cup meeting she lost 2nd late on to Guineas winner and Coronation favourite Mother Earth. Back over 6 furlongs on better ground I think she could show something close to her form last year which culminated with a close second in the Cheveley Park stakes. At 25/1 I think she has been forgotten in the market here and should outrun those odds. The other I like is Dandalla won the Albany over course and distance last year and is a 33/1 shot for this, I think she is more suited to this trip after not quite getting home over seven furlongs first time out this year. I’ll forgive her disappointing last run as that was heavy ground and ignoring that, 33/1 is too big for a previous course and distance winner.

Dandalla 33/1 0.5pts EW

Miss Amulet 25/1 1pt EW

4:20- The Coronation is a mile long group one race for the fillies. We have another good sized field and 5 places on offer. For me this looks like a race for the Irish raiders with them taking up a fair chunk at the top of the market. I’ve sided with an Irish raider here, but one again who is a bit of a bigger price. Shale for Donnacha O’Brien won the Moyglare last year before a sixth in the Fillie’s mile and a disappointing return in a Guineas trial. I’ll forgive the Fillie’s mile run as she had ran a fair few times for a two year old before that and may have needed a break, and her run on return maybe it was a combination of fitness and carrying a penalty that counted against her, but at 16/1 could bounce back to her best here.

Shale 16/1 0.5pts EW

5:00- The Sandringham Stakes is a mile handicap for 3 year old fillies. We have a huge field with 7 places the best on offer. On previous runs I’m taken with a huge outsider Mamba Wamba stepping up to a mile should suit as she often stays on late over 6 and 7 furlongs. It could bring out the improvement to bounce back to her best form last year where she ran well in listed and group races. She actually ran in the Queen Mary last year and finished a respectable 8th of 18 that day. For these sorts of races I like horses who have ran well at the track and big field experience is invaluable especially for these young horses. She is 66/1 so not something to pile into, but I think she is better than that price, and was listed placed on soft so won’t mind any rain.

Mamba Wamba 66/1 0.5pts EW

5:35- The second to last race for the Friday is the Duke Of Edinburgh, a 1 mile 4 handicap. We have 5 places on offer with Sky again going 6. An open looking contest I’ve sided with man of the moment, Mark Johnston, in the form of Zabeel Champion. From a Galileo mare and half brother to Dame Malliot who excelled at this trip, he was won no less than three times this year and gone up just 10lb. He won’t mind any rain that comes, and the draw doesn’t worry me too much as he will be pushed along early either to make all or follow just behind the leader. At 16/1 he should give us a good run for our money.

Zabeel Champion 16/1 1pt EW

6:10- The final race of the day is the Holyroodhouse handicap over 5 furlongs. In the Kachy colours, I like Caroline Dale at 25/1 especially with 6 places on offer. She is interesting here on her handicap debut having previously run well at the track. On just her second start she was third in the group two Queen Mary at the meeting last year at 100/1. She then showed it was no fluke with further places in the group three Princess Margaret at the track and a listed third at Newbury. Off of only 95 today she could have a bit of room to play with mark wise and hopefully is primed and ready to run. Her listed place was on soft ground so rain is no concern.

Caroline Dale 25/1 0.5pts EW

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