Royal Ascot Day Two
What a great day one we had with some decent priced places followed by the lovely 33/1 winner in the last! Whatever happens now we end the week in profit so lets have some fun.
2:30 - The Queen Mary kicks off day two, a fillies group 2 for 2 year olds over 5 furlongs.
With Sky offering 7 places again I’d not put anybody off backing the Hollie Doyle ride, White Jasmine, who will be suited by the drop back to 5 furlongs. However that is more speculative as this race is very open and hard to pick through. The Americans have a strong hand with the two at the top of the market, but I’ll be siding here with Desert Dreamer under Oisin Murphy who had a good day yesterday! Her debut is some very strong form, beating Nymphadora who re-opposes having won a listed race next time out; Canonised who has since won well; Bellarena Lady who was won a couple of times since likewise with Devious Angel and Beautiful Sunshine. She then stepped up to 6 furlongs and won again but this time was nearly caught by Dashing Rat who did the form no negatives having stayed on late into 9th yesterday in the Coventry, the drop back to 5 furlongs will suit her well and at 11/1 I’ll chance she should be there abouts! Desert Dreamer 11/1 0.5pts EW
3:05- The Queen’s Vase is a group two for three year olds over the Leger trip, 1 mile and 6 furlongs. The race this year has a good field with 5 places available for the each was market, Aiden O’Brien often does well in this but I’m looking elsewhere this time. The horse who I like for this is Stowell who was in the limelight on debut as Rab Havlin was banned for a very tentative ride where he stayed on eel but wasn’t ridden to win against a stablemate. He then turned out quite soon after and won easily going off a very short price. He stays on so well over 1 mile 4 that the trip should suit in theory and under Frankie Dettori at 15/2 I’ll be having a slightly bigger each way bet than usual. Stowell 15/2 1pt EW
3:40- The Duke Of Cambridge is the next race over a mile, a group two for the fillies. There is 4 places on offer today. The top of the market is Lady Bowthorpe who ran none other than Palace Pier close in the Lockinge. However, there is two at double digit prices that I’ll be taking instead. Firstly we have one of my HTF for the year, Onassis, who was last seen over an inadequate 6 furlongs on champions day. She’ll be suited much better by this mile trip and as per Sir Busker yesterday who likes to come with a late run, and hopefully she can stay on into the places. The second is Lavenders Blue who was a neck behind Lady Bowthorpe and Queen Power in the Dahlia, that was off level weights and those two, who are top of the market, have to carry a 3lb penalty and that could be enough to sway it for Lavenders Blue at over double the price. Onassis 12/1 0.5pts EW
Lavenders Blue 12/1 0.5pts EW
4:20 - The Prince of Wales has only 7 runners this year and it’s a shame to have lost Addeyb from the race, however we still have a classy field with 4 time group one winner Love who was unbeaten last year and is on seasonal reappearance here. As well as the high class Lord North who won this last year and also won the Dubai turf on his last start in Meydan. Audarya also won a pair of group ones last year and we have Armory who was very impressive in the grade two Huxley stakes on his seasonal reappearance. Lord Oberon and Desert Encounter are both solid enough but perhaps over their heads a little bit in this company, and Sangarius is starting to disappoint despite showing some good form. With only 2 places on offer and fitness doubts over Love I won’t have a bet in this race but if pushed I’d side with Armory with a recent run under his belt.
5:00 - Next we have the Royal Hunt cup over a mile with a huge field, fortunately that means you can get 7 or 8 places. It’s one I like to have a few small darts in with the masses of places. The 4 I’ve gone for are as follows- Maydanny for Mark Johnston, who ran an okay 7th in the Silver Hunt cup here last year. He won at Glorius Goodwood and returned this year with a good second where he was caught late on by Bell Rock, the drop in trip seems perfect and should go well. Revich is continually underrated in the market with a 100/1 place in the Lincoln and a 33/1 place in the Spring Cup over today’s trip. He ran an okay race last time out at Chester finishing fourth and think at 50/1 he could sneak a place for us! From the Lincoln as well I like Hortzadar who is again 50/1, he was stepped up slightly last time and was beaten late on by Corazon Espinado. He’s won on good ground before and loves the big field handicaps. Finally I’ve gone for Hollie Doyle’s Beat Le Bon who ran well last week, he’s group placed and won the golden mile at Goodwood a couple of years back off a similar mark. I know 4 selections is a lot but with the 8 places we just need one or two in there to turn a profit.
Maydanny 20/1 0.5pts EW
Beat Le Bon 20/1 0.5pts EW
Hortzadar 50/1 0.5pts EW
Revich 50/1 0.5pts EW
5:35- The listed Windsor Castle Stakes over 5 furlongs for two year olds is the penultimate race on day two. Most bookies are giving 5 places but sky are giving 6 generously. As I said yesterday I don’t go mad on the two year old races, but will have one each way play here in Chipotle. I earmarked this race after a taking debut. That was then followed up with a good win in a Royal Ascot trial, before a disappointing sixth of seven in the listed National Stakes. Not only was that a strong race with Ebro River and Navello showing good form, Ebro River placing for us yesterday, but the ground was soft that day and will be much better on the fast ground here. At 22/1 I think we’d be looking at a much shorter price if you ignore the National run.
Chipotle 22/1 0.5pts EW
6:10- A fillies handicap over a mile rounds off day two and again with 5 places I’ll be playing two each way. Firstly I like the outsider of the field to spring an upset, Seperate at 66/1. A really good two year old having been Group Three placed and running well in big races like the Super Sprint at Newbury. She was campaigned in top class races to start last year and then when that didn’t go quite to plan the returned to handicaps without success. I wasn’t sure if she’d return for a four year old season but she has and on reappearance she ran a good third to lighter weighted opposition. Her own mark has dropped to 87 from a high of 98 and if you forgive her non show last time on soft ground, then 66/1 could look very big. The other I’ll be backing is Tomorrow’s Dream for William Haggas and Tom Marquand it’s the first time in almost a year where she’s dropped below listed or group three level. Her last handicap run was off a little lower mark but she won that well and has a great chance here at 22/1. Tomorrow’s Dream 22/1 0.5pts EW Seperate 66/1 0.5pts EW